Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000142 0.000159 0.000176 0.000197 0.000219 0.000244 0.000272
2025-08-31 0.000118 0.000140 0.000165 0.000196 0.000232 0.000274 0.000325
2025-09-07 0.000101 0.000126 0.000157 0.000196 0.000244 0.000303 0.000380
2025-09-14 0.000087 0.000114 0.000148 0.000194 0.000254 0.000329 0.000433
2025-09-21 0.000078 0.000107 0.000144 0.000196 0.000268 0.000363 0.000497
2025-09-28 0.000070 0.000100 0.000139 0.000198 0.000280 0.000393 0.000560
2025-10-05 0.000063 0.000092 0.000134 0.000196 0.000288 0.000418 0.000617
2025-10-12 0.000058 0.000089 0.000132 0.000200 0.000304 0.000455 0.000694
2025-10-19 0.000053 0.000084 0.000129 0.000201 0.000313 0.000484 0.000761
2025-10-26 0.000049 0.000079 0.000125 0.000201 0.000322 0.000511 0.000827
2025-11-02 0.000045 0.000074 0.000121 0.000199 0.000328 0.000533 0.000888
2025-11-09 0.000042 0.000071 0.000119 0.000200 0.000339 0.000565 0.000965
2025-11-16 0.000038 0.000067 0.000114 0.000198 0.000343 0.000587 0.001030
2025-11-23 0.000036 0.000063 0.000111 0.000197 0.000350 0.000614 0.001106
2025-11-30 0.000033 0.000060 0.000108 0.000197 0.000359 0.000645 0.001190
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000057 0.000105 0.000195 0.000364 0.000669 0.001266
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000104 0.000198 0.000378 0.000710 0.001374
2025-12-21 0.000027 0.000053 0.000102 0.000199 0.000388 0.000746 0.001477
2025-12-28 0.000025 0.000051 0.000099 0.000197 0.000394 0.000772 0.001564
2026-01-04 0.000024 0.000050 0.000099 0.000202 0.000411 0.000823 0.001702
2026-01-11 0.000023 0.000048 0.000097 0.000202 0.000420 0.000857 0.001811
2026-01-18 0.000022 0.000046 0.000095 0.000202 0.000428 0.000891 0.001919
2026-01-25 0.000020 0.000044 0.000093 0.000200 0.000432 0.000916 0.002014